One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
De TreffersKick-off0-0Jong Sparta Rotterdam
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): De Treffers win in 68% of the simulated matches, 17% end level and Jong Sparta Rotterdam win 15%. Average goals 4.1; the most likely score is 2-1 (8%); both teams score in 68%.
Previous meetings and form
Head to head
3De Treffers0Draws1Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Goals: 10 - 8 · last 4 meetings
Tweede DivisieJong Sparta Rotterdam1 - 4De Treffers
Tweede DivisieDe Treffers2 - 1Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Tweede DivisieJong Sparta Rotterdam1 - 2De Treffers
Tweede DivisieDe Treffers2 - 5Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Goals scored per match: 2.3Goals conceded per match: 1.5
Jong Sparta RotterdamDLLLW
Scored in 12 matches in a row
No win in 4 matches
Last 5 matches
DADe Treffers3 - 3
LARKAV Volendam1 - 2
LHJong Almere City FC1 - 4
LABVV Barendrecht2 - 3
WHHSV Hoek3 - 0
Last 10 matches
Matches with 3+ goals9/10
Both teams scored9/10
Clean sheets1/10
Failed to score0/10
Goals scored per match: 2.2Goals conceded per match: 2.3
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: 3-3.
Story
De Treffers vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam: the story of the match
41' — De Treffers took the lead: 1-0. W. den Dekker scored it. Half time: 1-0.
49' — Jong Sparta Rotterdam equalised: 1-1. J. Esser scored it. 70' — Jong Sparta Rotterdam completed the turnaround: 1-2. M. Oukhattou scored it. 78' — De Treffers equalised: 2-2. J. van Ginkel scored it. 84' — Jong Sparta Rotterdam completed the turnaround: 2-3. L. Nieuwenhuijs scored it. 88' — De Treffers equalised: 3-3. T. Waterink scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 3-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
De TreffersDrawJong Sparta Rotterdam
Pre-match model estimate: De Treffers 68%, draw 17%, Jong Sparta Rotterdam 15%.
De Treffers and Jong Sparta Rotterdam shared the points in a 3-3 draw in the Tweede Divisie. It was 1-0 at half-time. J. van Ginkel was our player of the match, rated 7.7 by the ScoreMondo model for De Treffers. The match was played on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Sportpark Zuid in Groesbeek.
How the match unfolded
De Treffers took the lead in the 41st minute through W. den Dekker, set up by R. van Strien. De Treffers led 1-0 at the break.
Jong Sparta Rotterdam drew level at 1-1 on 49 minutes thanks to J. Esser, set up by L. Nieuwenhuijs. Jong Sparta Rotterdam completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 70th minute through M. Oukhattou, set up by D. Jermoumi. De Treffers drew level at 2-2 on 78 minutes thanks to J. van Ginkel, set up by S. van Bakel. Jong Sparta Rotterdam completed the turnaround at 3-2 in the 84th minute through L. Nieuwenhuijs, set up by T. Borrie. De Treffers drew level at 3-3 in the 88th minute through T. Waterink, set up by J. van Ginkel.
Match statistics
Jong Sparta Rotterdam's yellow cards went to L. Nieuwenhuijs in the 87th minute and T. Borrie in the 94th minute.
Who stood out
The best ScoreMondo ratings after the player of the match went to L. Nieuwenhuijs (Jong Sparta Rotterdam, 7.4), T. Waterink (De Treffers, 7.0) and W. den Dekker (De Treffers, 7.0). From the De Treffers bench came J. Hekkert on 72 minutes, K. Surmeli on 72 minutes, G. Vlijter on 72 minutes and J. Coffie on 83 minutes. Jong Sparta Rotterdam made 4 changes: D. Jermoumi for G. Vianello (60'), S. Ebite for D. Hanzen (60'), J. Inocencio for K. Sallent (83') and B. Leerdam for J. Esser (85').
How they came into it
De Treffers came into the match with 4 wins and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches — scoring in 9 straight games. Their most recent game was a 3-2 win over Jong Almere City FC for De Treffers. Before kick-off, Jong Sparta Rotterdam's last 5 matches had brought 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Jong Sparta Rotterdam lost 2-1 away to RKAV Volendam in their last match. The last meeting, in 2026 in the Tweede Divisie, ended in a 4-1 win for De Treffers. Those 4 games produced 18 goals, an average of 4.5 per match.
What it means
De Treffers have now scored in 10 consecutive matches. 3 defeats in a row come to an end for Jong Sparta Rotterdam. Across 5 meetings in our records: 3 wins for De Treffers, 1 win for Jong Sparta Rotterdam and 1 draw.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Tweede Divisie
