De Treffers vs Heracles Almelo: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
55' — Mario Borac of Heracles Almelo was sent off. 61' — De Treffers took the lead: 1-0. Sebastiaan Van Bakel scored it. De Treffers won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
De TreffersDrawHeracles Almelo
Pre-match model estimate: De Treffers 19%, draw 18%, Heracles Almelo 63%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): De Treffers win in 19% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Heracles Almelo win 63%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 1-2 (10%); both teams score in 62%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
De Treffers kept a clean sheet in a 1-0 win over Heracles Almelo in the KNVB Cup. The half-time score was 0-0.
Key moments
Half-time: 0-0 between De Treffers and Heracles Almelo.
Heracles Almelo had a goal ruled out in the 54th minute. Heracles Almelo had a player sent off on 55 minutes: Mario Borac. De Treffers took the lead on 61 minutes thanks to Sebastiaan Van Bakel.
Match statistics
De Treffers had 11 shots (9 on target) to Heracles Almelo's 13 (4). De Treffers won 6 corners, Heracles Almelo 10. Heracles Almelo produced 71 dangerous attacks to De Treffers' 53.
What the result means
De Treffers extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches. De Treffers ended Heracles Almelo's unbeaten run of 5 matches.
Coming up
De Treffers visit RKAV Volendam next, on 7 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
