Club Atlas De Guadalajara vs Puebla FC: the story of the match
1' — Club Atlas De Guadalajara took the lead: 1-0. Florián Monzón scored it. 20' — Puebla FC equalised: 1-1. Luifer Hernández scored it. Half time: 1-1.
60' — Puebla FC completed the turnaround: 1-2. An own goal by Jorge Sánchez. 63' — Club Atlas De Guadalajara equalised: 2-2. Kevin Zenón scored it. 68' — Club Atlas De Guadalajara completed the turnaround: 3-2. José Martín scored it. 78' — Alonso Ramirez of Puebla FC was sent off. 79' — Club Atlas De Guadalajara extended the lead: 4-2. José Martín scored it. 84' — Puebla FC pulled one back: 4-3. Omar Moreno scored it. Club Atlas De Guadalajara won 4-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Club Atlas De GuadalajaraDrawPuebla FC
Pre-match model estimate: Club Atlas De Guadalajara 58%, draw 23%, Puebla FC 19%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Club Atlas De Guadalajara win in 58% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Puebla FC win 19%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-0 (11%); both teams score in 54%. About 11.5 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Club Atlas De Guadalajara – Puebla FC match report
Club Atlas De Guadalajara took the lead on 1 minutes thanks to Florián Monzón, set up by Jorge Rodríguez. Puebla FC drew level at 1-1 on 20 minutes thanks to Luifer Hernández. The first half ended 1-1.
Puebla FC completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 60 minutes thanks to an own goal from Jorge Sánchez. Club Atlas De Guadalajara drew level at 2-2 on 63 minutes thanks to Kevin Zenón, set up by Luís Esteves. Club Atlas De Guadalajara completed the turnaround at 3-2 in the 68th minute: José Martín, set up by Kevin Zenón. Alonso Ramirez saw a second yellow and then red in the 78th minute, leaving Puebla FC short-handed. Club Atlas De Guadalajara extended their lead to 4-2 on 79 minutes thanks to José Martín, set up by Luís Esteves.
Puebla FC pulled one back to make it 4-3 on 84 minutes thanks to Omar Moreno, set up by Alejandro Organista. Club Atlas De Guadalajara had a goal ruled out in the 97th minute.
The statistics
The shot count read 15-11, 9-9 on target. Club Atlas De Guadalajara won 7 corners, Puebla FC 3.
The bigger picture
The result lifts Club Atlas De Guadalajara to 4th with 24 points, up from 6th. Puebla FC drop from 13th to 14th on 16 points. Club Atlas De Guadalajara have now scored in 12 consecutive matches. Puebla FC have now gone 7 matches without a win.
Liga MX, Apertura
