One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
CF MonterreyKick-off0-0Chivas Guadalajara
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals CF Monterrey 1.5 – 1.4 Chivas Guadalajara. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Both teams score in 58% of the simulated matches. About 11.3 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Chivas Guadalajara beat CF Monterrey1-0 without conceding at Estadio BBVA. Player of the match: Roberto Alvarado of Chivas Guadalajara, with a ScoreMondo rating of 8.7. Sunday 25 October, Estadio BBVA (Monterrey): CF Monterrey against Chivas Guadalajara on matchday 14, kick-off 01:00.
The story of the match
Chivas Guadalajara took the lead on 9 minutes thanks to Roberto Alvarado, set up by Santiago Sandoval. Chivas Guadalajara led 1-0 at the break.
CF Monterrey were a man down from the 90th minute, when Orbelín Pineda was sent off.
The statistics
CF Monterrey won 8 corners, Chivas Guadalajara 3. A red card for CF Monterrey and 2 yellows made it a bad-tempered match. CF Monterrey produced 71 dangerous attacks to Chivas Guadalajara's 50. Fouls: 16 by CF Monterrey, 9 by Chivas Guadalajara; offsides 2-0.
Before kick-off, CF Monterrey's last 5 matches had brought 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Last time out, CF Monterrey beat Puebla FC4-1 away. Chivas Guadalajara came into the match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches — unbeaten in 4. Their most recent game was a 1-0 win over Club Necaxa for Chivas Guadalajara. CF Monterrey and Chivas Guadalajara have met 10 times in our records: 3 wins for CF Monterrey, 5 for Chivas Guadalajara and 2 draws. When they last met, on 22 March 2026, Chivas Guadalajara won 3-2. There have been 28 goals in the 10 meetings, 2.8 a game. Referee Victor Alfonso Caceres Hernandez showed 2 yellow cards and 1 red; the average in our records is 3.8 yellows per game over 18 matches.
What the result means
Chivas Guadalajara ended CF Monterrey's unbeaten run of 3 matches. Chivas Guadalajara extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches.
Liga MX, Apertura
