Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CD Azuaga beat CD Zafra 2-1 in Tercera Federacion, Group 12.
Match decisions & VAR
42'Red cardCD ZafraDecision
79'Red cardCD AzuagaDecision
94'Penalty awardedCD AzuagaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: CD Azuaga won 1-2.
Story
CD Zafra vs CD Azuaga: the story of the match
42' — CD Zafra had a player sent off. Half time: 0-0.
47' — CD Azuaga took the lead: 0-1. 79' — CD Azuaga had a player sent off. 82' — CD Zafra equalised: 1-1. 90' — CD Azuaga went back in front: 1-2. It came in the closing minutes. CD Azuaga won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD ZafraDrawCD Azuaga
Pre-match model estimate: CD Zafra 24%, draw 25%, CD Azuaga 51%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Zafra win in 24% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and CD Azuaga win 51%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 51%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 5.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Zafra were a man down from the 42nd minute. It was CD Zafra 0-0 CD Azuaga at half-time.
Just 5 minutes later (47') CD Azuaga took the lead. CD Azuaga had a player sent off on 79 minutes. Just 3 minutes later (82') CD Zafra drew level at 1-1. Late on, in the 90th minute, CD Azuaga went 2-1 up.
Match statistics
CD Zafra won 12 corners, CD Azuaga 6.
The bigger picture
CD Zafra have now gone 5 matches without a win. CD Azuaga have now won 5 in a row.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
