Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CD Santurtzi beat Amurrio CF 2-1 in Tercera Federacion, Group 12.
Match decisions & VAR
67'Penalty awardedCD SanturtziDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: CD Santurtzi won 2-1.
Story
CD Santurtzi vs Amurrio CF: the story of the match
42' — Amurrio CF took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
68' — CD Santurtzi equalised: 1-1. 79' — CD Santurtzi completed the turnaround: 2-1. CD Santurtzi won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD SanturtziDrawAmurrio CF
Pre-match model estimate: CD Santurtzi 58%, draw 24%, Amurrio CF 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Santurtzi win in 58% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Amurrio CF win 18%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-0 (15%); both teams score in 43%. About 9.2 corners on average. About 5.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
