Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
CD Guarnizo beat Selaya FC 1-0 in Tercera Federacion, Group 12.
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Result verified.
Full time: CD Guarnizo won 1-0.
Half time: 0-0.
90' — CD Guarnizo took the lead: 1-0. It came in the closing minutes. CD Guarnizo won 1-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: CD Guarnizo 50%, draw 25%, Selaya FC 25%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Guarnizo win in 50% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Selaya FC win 25%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 52%. About 9.0 corners on average. About 5.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Updated:
CD Guarnizo left it late to beat Selaya FC 1-0. The half-time score was 0-0.
Half-time: 0-0 between CD Guarnizo and Selaya FC.
Late on, in the 90th minute, CD Guarnizo took the lead.
CD Guarnizo won 4 corners, Selaya FC 3.
CD Guarnizo end a run of 3 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
