Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: the story of the match
20' — Burnley took the lead: 1-0. Jamie Vardy scored it. 39' — Wolverhampton Wanderers equalised: 1-1. Fernando López scored it. Half time: 1-1.
72' — Wolverhampton Wanderers completed the turnaround: 1-2. Tawanda Chirewa scored it. Wolverhampton Wanderers won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
BurnleyDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
Pre-match model estimate: Burnley 29%, draw 27%, Wolverhampton Wanderers 44%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Burnley took the lead in the 20th minute: Jamie Vardy, set up by Jacob Bruun Larsen. Wolverhampton Wanderers drew level at 1-1 on 39 minutes thanks to Fernando López, set up by Sean Neave. It was Burnley 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers at half-time.
Wolverhampton Wanderers completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 72 minutes thanks to Tawanda Chirewa, set up by Mateus Mané.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 6-12, 3-7 on target. Burnley won 3 corners, Wolverhampton Wanderers 6.
What the result means
Wolverhampton Wanderers ended Burnley's unbeaten run of 3 matches.
Next fixtures
Next up for Burnley: away at Queens Park Rangers on Tuesday 3 November. Wolverhampton Wanderers' next match is away to Bristol City on 4 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.