Benevento Calcio vs Catanzaro: the story of the match
Benevento Calcio started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0, with Benevento Calcio applying more of the pressure.
51' — Benevento Calcio took the lead: 1-0. Francesco Salvemini scored from the penalty spot. 90' — Catanzaro equalised: 1-1. Nicoló Buso scored it. It came in the closing minutes. After 46' the momentum swung to Catanzaro. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Benevento CalcioDrawCatanzaro
Pre-match model estimate: Benevento Calcio 61%, draw 21%, Catanzaro 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Benevento CalcioCatanzaro
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min068
Last 15 min3766
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Benevento Calcio win in 61% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Catanzaro win 18%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 57%. About 9.6 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Benevento Calcio – Catanzaro match report
Updated:
It finished 1-1 between Benevento Calcio and Catanzaro at Stadio Ciro Vigorito. It was 0-0 at half-time.
Key moments
Benevento Calcio started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. The first half ended 0-0, with Benevento Calcio the side applying more pressure.
From the 46th minute the pressure shifted towards Catanzaro. Benevento Calcio took the lead on 51 minutes thanks to Francesco Salvemini from the penalty spot. Catanzaro drew level at 1-1 in the 90th minute: Nicoló Buso.
What the numbers say
Benevento Calcio had 5 shots (3 on target) to Catanzaro's 3 (2). Corners finished 5-5.
The bigger picture
Benevento Calcio remain 5th, now with 15 points. Catanzaro stay 20th on 5 points. Benevento Calcio are now unbeaten in 4 matches. The wait for a win goes on for Catanzaro: 5 matches now. Across 3 meetings in our records: 1 win for Benevento Calcio and 2 draws.
Next fixtures
Benevento Calcio visit US Cremonese next, on 31 October in Serie B. Next up for Catanzaro: home to Padova on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie B
