Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
AZ Picerno beat Salernitana 3-0 in Serie C, Group B.
Venue: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio.
Referee: M. Frasynyak.
In our records AZ Picerno and Salernitana have met 2 times: AZ Picerno won 0, 0 ended level and Salernitana won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Salernitana 2-1 AZ Picerno.
Match decisions & VAR
55'Review overVAR review · incidentDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: AZ Picerno won 3-0.
Story
AZ Picerno vs Salernitana: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 33' — AZ Picerno took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
53' — AZ Picerno extended the lead: 2-0. 90' — AZ Picerno extended the lead: 3-0. It came in the closing minutes. After 91' the momentum swung to Salernitana. AZ Picerno won 3-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AZ PicernoDrawSalernitana
Pre-match model estimate: AZ Picerno 29%, draw 25%, Salernitana 46%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
AZ PicernoSalernitana
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min046
Last 15 min3431
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AZ Picerno win in 29% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Salernitana win 46%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AZ Picerno took the lead on 33 minutes. Half-time: 1-0, AZ Picerno in front.
AZ Picerno extended their lead to 2-0 on 53 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, AZ Picerno extended their lead to 3-0. From the 91st minute the pressure shifted towards Salernitana.
Match statistics
Corners finished 2-5. Dangerous attacks: 53 for Salernitana, 32 for AZ Picerno.
What the result means
3 defeats in a row come to an end for AZ Picerno. Salernitana's 3-match unbeaten run is over.
Next fixtures
Next up for AZ Picerno: away at USD Cavese on Saturday 31 October. Salernitana's next match is at home against Savoia 1908 on 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie C, Group B
