Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
SSD Casarano beat FC Crotone 1-0 in Serie C, Group B.
Venue: Stadio Ezio Scida.
Referee: N. Dorillo.
In our records FC Crotone and SSD Casarano have met 2 times: FC Crotone won 2, 0 ended level and SSD Casarano won 0.
Their latest meeting (): SSD Casarano 1-2 FC Crotone.
Match decisions & VAR
25'Review overVAR review · incidentDecision
66'Goal disallowedFC CrotoneDecision · Score 0-0
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: SSD Casarano won 0-1.
Story
FC Crotone vs SSD Casarano: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0.
79' — SSD Casarano took the lead: 0-1. After 61' the momentum swung to FC Crotone. SSD Casarano won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC CrotoneDrawSSD Casarano
Pre-match model estimate: FC Crotone 45%, draw 25%, SSD Casarano 30%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
FC CrotoneSSD Casarano
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min120
Last 15 min494
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Crotone win in 45% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and SSD Casarano win 30%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Half-time: 0-0 between FC Crotone and SSD Casarano.
From the 61st minute the pressure shifted towards FC Crotone. The officials disallowed a FC Crotone goal on 66 minutes. SSD Casarano took the lead on 79 minutes.
Match statistics
FC Crotone had 7 shots (5 on target) to SSD Casarano's 3 (2). Corners finished 3-4. Dangerous attacks: 46 for FC Crotone, 21 for SSD Casarano.
What it means
The wait for a win goes on for FC Crotone: 4 matches now. A 5-game wait for victory is over for SSD Casarano.
Coming up
FC Crotone visit Potenza Calcio next, on 1 November in Serie C, Group B.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie C, Group B
