Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
AZ Picerno beat USD Cavese 2-1 in Serie C, Group B.
Venue: Stadio Simonetta Lamberti.
Referee: Erminio Cerbasi.
In our records USD Cavese and AZ Picerno have met 4 times: USD Cavese won 1, 3 ended level and AZ Picerno won 0.
Their latest meeting (): USD Cavese 2-0 AZ Picerno.
Match details
Venue
Stadio Simonetta Lamberti
Referee
Erminio Cerbasi (Italy) 2.67 yellow and 0.00 red cards per match over 3 matches
Coaches
Cristiano Masitto · Guido Di Deo
Match decisions & VAR
83'Goal disallowedUSD CaveseDecision · Score 0-2
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Squad status
Confirmed XI1 data source · Last update
USD Cavese
Starting XI
5T. Awua
7E. Minaj
8A. Diarrassouba
12V. Boffelli
17F. Nunziata
20G. Esposito
24F. Orlando
25M. Peretti
28T. Mannucci
77M. Macchi
82G. Fusco
Substitutes (14)
1R. Juwer
2P. Asiatico
4E. Visconti
9T. Alberti
10G. Fella
11S. Sava
15I. Ponziglione
22M. Bertini
23A. Fiordaliso
33M. Personeni
46G. Severino
47G. Fiorin
61F. Maiolo
62F. D'Amore
AZ Picerno
Starting XI
4G. Bellodi
7M. Kanoute
16S. Bianchi
21S. Maselli
23F. Rillo
26A. Bassoli
30A. Gemignani
33R. Marcone
44D. Franco
90L. Abreu
99S. Pugliese
Substitutes (11)
2M. Perri
5V. Garofalo
11E. Esposito
12F. Pecci
14D. Egharevba
15R. Tolovan
17L. Nocerino
19F. Pistolesi
22S. Cortese
29D. Del Fabro
70A. Oliviero
No injury or suspension information for this match yet; only the squad data we hold is shown.
USD Cavese
V. Boffelli
T. Mannucci
M. Peretti
F. Nunziata
A. Diarrassouba
G. Esposito
T. Awua
M. Macchi
F. Orlando
E. Minaj
G. Fusco
AZ Picerno
R. Marcone
A. Gemignani
G. Bellodi
A. Bassoli
F. Rillo
S. Maselli
D. Franco
M. Kanoute
S. Bianchi
S. Pugliese
L. Abreu
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: AZ Picerno won 1-2.
Story
USD Cavese vs AZ Picerno: the story of the match
17' — AZ Picerno took the lead: 0-1. S. Pugliese scored it. 38' — AZ Picerno extended the lead: 0-2. L. Abreu scored it. Half time: 0-2.
93' — USD Cavese pulled one back: 1-2. T. Alberti scored it. It came in the closing minutes. AZ Picerno won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
USD CaveseDrawAZ Picerno
Pre-match model estimate: USD Cavese 51%, draw 25%, AZ Picerno 24%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): USD Cavese win in 51% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and AZ Picerno win 24%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 49%. About 9.0 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AZ Picerno got the better of USD Cavese, winning 2-1 at Stadio Simonetta Lamberti. It was 0-2 at half-time.
How the match unfolded
S. Pugliese opened the scoring for AZ Picerno after 17 minutes, set up by D. Franco. AZ Picerno extended their lead to 2-0 on 38 minutes thanks to L. Abreu. It was USD Cavese 0-2 AZ Picerno at half-time.
The officials disallowed a USD Cavese goal on 83 minutes. Late on, in the 93rd minute, USD Cavese pulled one back to make it 1-2 through T. Alberti.
The statistics
On target it was 2-2, from 7 and 2 attempts respectively. Dangerous attacks: 55 for USD Cavese, 15 for AZ Picerno.
What it means
AZ Picerno had not beaten USD Cavese in any of the previous 4 meetings we have.