Audax Italiano vs CD Huachipato: the story of the match
25' — CD Huachipato took the lead: 0-1. Maximiliano Rodríguez scored it. 34' — Audax Italiano equalised: 1-1. Felipe Salomoni scored it. Half time: 1-1.
The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Audax ItalianoDrawCD Huachipato
Pre-match model estimate: Audax Italiano 49%, draw 24%, CD Huachipato 27%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Audax Italiano win in 49% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and CD Huachipato win 27%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 56%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Huachipato took the lead in the 25th minute: Maximiliano Rodríguez, set up by Maicol León. Audax Italiano drew level at 1-1 on 34 minutes thanks to Felipe Salomoni, set up by Giovani Chiaverano. Audax Italiano had a goal ruled out. Half-time: 1-1 between Audax Italiano and CD Huachipato.
Match statistics
On target it was 6-3, from 7 and 3 attempts respectively. Audax Italiano won 8 corners, CD Huachipato 2. Audax Italiano produced 73 dangerous attacks to CD Huachipato's 58.
The bigger picture
Audax Italiano stay 12th on 29 points. CD Huachipato remain 7th, now with 35 points. The result ends CD Huachipato's run of 3 straight wins. Across 11 meetings in our records: 4 wins for Audax Italiano, 5 wins for CD Huachipato and 2 draws.
Liga de Primera
