CD Huachipato vs CD La Serena: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
48' — Gonzalo Figueroa of CD La Serena was sent off. The match ended 0-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD HuachipatoDrawCD La Serena
Pre-match model estimate: CD Huachipato 37%, draw 24%, CD La Serena 39%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Huachipato win in 37% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and CD La Serena win 39%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 62%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Huachipato had 5 shots (3 on target) to CD La Serena's 1 (1). CD Huachipato won 5 corners, CD La Serena 3. CD Huachipato produced 57 dangerous attacks to CD La Serena's 32.
The bigger picture
CD Huachipato extend their unbeaten run to 6 matches. Across 4 meetings in our records: 2 wins for CD Huachipato and 2 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga de Primera
