Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
46' — Nottingham Forest took the lead: 0-1. Liam Delap scored it. 74' — Aston Villa equalised: 1-1. Alysson scored it. 88' — Nottingham Forest went back in front: 1-2. Igor Jesus scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Nottingham Forest won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Aston VillaDrawNottingham Forest
Pre-match model estimate: Aston Villa 62%, draw 22%, Nottingham Forest 16%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Nottingham Forest snatched a late 2-1 win over Aston Villa, Igor Jesus scoring the winner in the 88th minute. The half-time score was 0-0.
The story of the match
It was Aston Villa 0-0 Nottingham Forest at half-time.
Nottingham Forest took the lead on 46 minutes thanks to Liam Delap, set up by Murillo. Aston Villa drew level at 1-1 in the 74th minute: Alysson, set up by John McGinn. Late on, in the 88th minute, Nottingham Forest went 2-1 up through Igor Jesus, set up by Morgan Gibbs-White.
What it means
Nottingham Forest end a run of 4 matches without a win.
Premier League
