Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Sri Lanka and Bhutan drew 2-2 in SAFF Championship.
Venue: Bangabandhu National Stadium.
In our records Sri Lanka and Bhutan have met 4 times: Sri Lanka won 1, 0 ended level and Bhutan won 3.
Their latest meeting (): Sri Lanka 4-1 Bhutan.
Match details
Venue
National Football Stadium Dhaka, Dhaka, Bangladesh
Match decisions & VAR
6'Goal disallowedSri LankaDecision · Score 0-0
66'Penalty awardedBhutanDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
Sri Lanka vs Bhutan: the story of the match
34' — Bhutan took the lead: 0-1. 35' — Sri Lanka equalised: 1-1. 43' — Sri Lanka completed the turnaround: 2-1. Half time: 2-1.
76' — Bhutan equalised: 2-2. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Sri LankaDrawBhutan
Pre-match model estimate: Sri Lanka 81%, draw 13%, Bhutan 6%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Sri Lanka win in 81% of the simulated matches, 13% end level and Bhutan win 6%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 48%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It finished 2-2 between Sri Lanka and Bhutan at Bangabandhu National Stadium. It was 2-1 at half-time.
The story of the match
The officials disallowed a Sri Lanka goal on 6 minutes. Bhutan took the lead on 34 minutes. Just 1 minutes later (35') Sri Lanka drew level at 1-1. Sri Lanka completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 43 minutes. It was Sri Lanka 2-1 Bhutan at half-time.
Bhutan drew level at 2-2 on 76 minutes.
Match statistics
Corners finished 6-2. Dangerous attacks: 89 for Sri Lanka, 60 for Bhutan.
What the result means
Sri Lanka remain 2nd, now with 1 point. Bhutan stay 3rd on 1 point. 3 defeats in a row come to an end for Bhutan. Across 5 meetings in our records: 1 win for Sri Lanka, 3 wins for Bhutan and 1 draw.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
SAFF Championship
