10' — Brentford took the lead: 0-1. Yehor Yarmoliuk scored it. 12' — Aston Villa equalised: 1-1. Nicolas Jackson scored it. Half time: 1-1.
77' — Aston Villa completed the turnaround: 2-1. John McGinn scored it. 79' — Brentford equalised: 2-2. Kristoffer Ajer scored it. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Aston VillaDrawBrentford
Pre-match model estimate: Aston Villa 45%, draw 27%, Brentford 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Brentford took the lead on 10 minutes thanks to Yehor Yarmoliuk. Aston Villa drew level at 1-1 on 12 minutes thanks to Nicolas Jackson. It was Aston Villa 1-1 Brentford at half-time.
The result ends Aston Villa's run of 3 straight wins. Brentford extend their unbeaten run to 10 matches. Across 9 meetings in our records: 4 wins for Aston Villa, 2 wins for Brentford and 3 draws.
Next fixtures
Aston Villa visit Bournemouth next, on 28 October. Next up for Brentford: away at Sunderland on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League
