Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
AS Bakaridjan beat Afrique Elite 2-1 in Ligue 1.
In our records AS Bakaridjan and Afrique Elite have met 6 times: AS Bakaridjan won 2, 2 ended level and Afrique Elite won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Afrique Elite 0-3 AS Bakaridjan.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: AS Bakaridjan won 2-1.
Story
AS Bakaridjan vs Afrique Elite: the story of the match
14' — Afrique Elite took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
71' — AS Bakaridjan equalised: 1-1. 89' — AS Bakaridjan completed the turnaround: 2-1. It came in the closing minutes. AS Bakaridjan won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AS BakaridjanDrawAfrique Elite
Pre-match model estimate: AS Bakaridjan 49%, draw 29%, Afrique Elite 22%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AS Bakaridjan win in 49% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and Afrique Elite win 22%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 1-0 (16%); both teams score in 39%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Ligue 1
