14' — AC Milan took the lead: 1-0. C. Pulisic scored it. Half time: 1-0.
61' — AC Milan extended the lead: 2-0. A. Rabiot scored it. 73' — AC Milan extended the lead: 3-0. D. Moreira scored it. AC Milan won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AC MilanDrawLecce
Pre-match model estimate: AC Milan 69%, draw 19%, Lecce 12%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AC Milan took the lead in the 14th minute: C. Pulisic, set up by S. Pavlovic. AC Milan led 1-0 at the break.
AC Milan extended their lead to 2-0 on 61 minutes thanks to A. Rabiot, set up by G. Ramos. AC Milan extended their lead to 3-0 on 73 minutes thanks to D. Moreira.
What the result means
A 3-game wait for victory is over for AC Milan.
Coming up
Next up for AC Milan: home to Ferencvarosi TC on Thursday 5 November. Lecce's next match is away to Torino on 7 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie A
