24' — AC Milan took the lead: 1-0. Gonçalo Ramos scored from the penalty spot. 43' — AC Milan extended the lead: 2-0. Adrien Rabiot scored it. Half time: 2-0.
58' — AC Milan extended the lead: 3-0. Mario Gila scored it. 67' — Atalanta pulled one back: 3-1. Gianluca Gaetano scored it. 82' — Atalanta pulled one back: 3-2. Nikola Krstovic scored it. AC Milan won 3-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AC MilanDrawAtalanta
Pre-match model estimate: AC Milan 51%, draw 24%, Atalanta 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AC Milan took the lead on 24 minutes thanks to Gonçalo Ramos from the penalty spot. AC Milan extended their lead to 2-0 in the 43rd minute: Adrien Rabiot, set up by Diego Moreira. Half-time: 2-0, AC Milan in front.
Mario Gila made it 3-0 for AC Milan after 58 minutes. Atalanta pulled one back to make it 3-1 in the 67th minute: Gianluca Gaetano. Nikola Krstovic reduced the deficit for Atalanta to 3-2 after 82 minutes.
What the numbers say
AC Milan had 12 shots (6 on target) to Atalanta's 10 (4).
The bigger picture
AC Milan are now unbeaten in 4 matches.
Next fixtures
Next up for AC Milan: home to Bologna on Wednesday 28 October. Atalanta's next match is away to Fiorentina on 29 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie A
