This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Aarhus GF win in 41% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Viborg FF win 35%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 62%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Aarhus GF took the lead on 9 minutes thanks to Frederik Emmery. Aarhus GF led 1-0 at the break.
Aarhus GF extended their lead to 2-0 on 57 minutes thanks to Tobias Bech. Viborg FF pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 82 minutes thanks to Giulio. The officials disallowed a Viborg FF goal on 86 minutes.
The statistics
Corners finished 10-3.
What it means
Aarhus GF climb from 10th to 8th on 12 points. Viborg FF remain 3rd, now with 20 points. A 3-game wait for victory is over for Aarhus GF. Viborg FF have now scored in 7 consecutive matches.
Next fixtures
Aarhus GF's next match is away to FC Roskilde on 28 October. Viborg FF host AC Horsens next, on 1 November in Superligaen.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Superligaen
