Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
FC Roskilde and Aarhus GF meet on in DBU Pokalen.
In our records FC Roskilde and Aarhus GF have met 6 times: FC Roskilde won 0, 2 ended level and Aarhus GF won 4.
Their latest meeting (): FC Roskilde 0-2 Aarhus GF.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Aarhus GF (67%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
15%18%67%
FC Roskilde15%Draw18%Aarhus GF67%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
FC Roskilde vs Aarhus GF: preview
FC Roskilde have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. FC Roskilde are unbeaten in 12 matches. 6 of FC Roskilde's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. Aarhus GF have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Aarhus GF are unbeaten in 3 matches. 6 of Aarhus GF's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
In their last 6 meetings, FC Roskilde won 0, 2 ended level and Aarhus GF won 4.
Our pre-match model estimate: FC Roskilde 15%, draw 18%, Aarhus GF 67%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Roskilde win in 15% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Aarhus GF win 67%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 1-2 (10%); both teams score in 55%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Roskilde come into it with 3 wins and 2 draws from 5 matches. 12 games without defeat for FC Roskilde. Goals have flowed in FC Roskilde's games: 6 of the last 10 produced at least three.
Aarhus GF have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Aarhus GF are unbeaten in 3 matches. 6 of Aarhus GF's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
Previous meetings
The record between them over the last 6 matches reads 0-2-4 from FC Roskilde's point of view. The last meeting, in 2015, went 2-0 to Aarhus GF. Aarhus GF are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings with FC Roskilde.
DBU Pokalen
