Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
Wisla II Plock vs Zabkovia Zabki: the story of the match
9' — Zabkovia Zabki took the lead: 0-1. 19' — Wisla II Plock equalised: 1-1. 32' — Wisla II Plock completed the turnaround: 2-1. 38' — Zabkovia Zabki equalised: 2-2. Half time: 2-2.
89' — Zabkovia Zabki had a player sent off. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Wisla II PlockDrawZabkovia Zabki
Pre-match model estimate: Wisla II Plock 36%, draw 22%, Zabkovia Zabki 42%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Wisla II Plock win in 36% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Zabkovia Zabki win 42%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 69%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Zabkovia Zabki took the lead on 9 minutes. Wisla II Plock drew level at 1-1 on 19 minutes. Wisla II Plock completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 32 minutes. Zabkovia Zabki drew level at 2-2 on 38 minutes. The first half ended 2-2.
Zabkovia Zabki were a man down from the 89th minute. Zabkovia Zabki had a goal ruled out in the 91st minute.
The statistics
Wisla II Plock had 11 shots (5 on target) to Zabkovia Zabki's 19 (10). Wisla II Plock won 5 corners, Zabkovia Zabki 8. Zabkovia Zabki produced 67 dangerous attacks to Wisla II Plock's 49.
The bigger picture
The result takes Wisla II Plock to 22 points. Zabkovia Zabki move on to 18 points. Wisla II Plock have now scored in 7 consecutive matches. Zabkovia Zabki have now scored in 6 consecutive matches.
Next fixtures
Wisla II Plock visit KS Pelikan Lowicz next, on 31 October in the III Liga - Group I. Next up for Zabkovia Zabki: home to Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
III Liga - Group I
