Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: MKS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki won 3-1.
Story
MKS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs RKS Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki: the story of the match
10' — MKS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki took the lead: 1-0. 27' — MKS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0.
72' — MKS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki extended the lead: 3-0. 90' — RKS Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki pulled one back: 3-1. It came in the closing minutes. MKS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): MKS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win in 61% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and RKS Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki win 20%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 65%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
MKS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki took the lead on 10 minutes. MKS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki extended their lead to 2-0 on 27 minutes. Half-time: 2-0, MKS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki in front.
MKS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki extended their lead to 3-0 on 72 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, RKS Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki pulled one back to make it 3-1.
Match statistics
On target it was 5-5, from 9 and 7 attempts respectively. MKS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki won 4 corners, RKS Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki 4. 5 saves came from the MKS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki goalkeeper. RKS Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki produced 235 dangerous attacks to MKS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki's 160.
The bigger picture
The result takes MKS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki to 24 points. RKS Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki move on to 13 points. MKS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki end a run of 3 matches without a win.
Next fixtures
Next up for MKS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki: away at LKS 1926 Lomza on Saturday 31 October. RKS Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki's next match is at home against SKS Wigry Suwalki on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
III Liga - Group I
