Werder Bremen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
57' — Werder Bremen took the lead: 1-0. Niclas Füllkrug scored it. 82' — Werder Bremen extended the lead: 2-0. Eren Dinkci scored it. Werder Bremen won 2-0.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Werder Bremen win in 43% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win 35%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 70%. About 10.5 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Werder Bremen took the lead on 57 minutes thanks to Niclas Füllkrug, set up by Karl Hein. Werder Bremen extended their lead to 2-0 on 82 minutes thanks to Eren Dinkci, set up by Marco Grüll.
The statistics
Werder Bremen had 3 shots (2 on target) to TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's 5 (2). Werder Bremen won 8 corners, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim produced 43 dangerous attacks to Werder Bremen's 17.
What the result means
Werder Bremen have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. Werder Bremen ended TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's unbeaten run of 4 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
