VVV-Venlo vs Jong PSV Eindhoven: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 39' — Jong PSV Eindhoven took the lead: 0-1. Amir Bouhamdi scored it. Half time: 0-1, with Jong PSV Eindhoven applying more of the pressure.
66' — VVV-Venlo equalised: 1-1. Ismail M'Hand scored it. After 61' the momentum swung to VVV-Venlo. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
VVV-VenloDrawJong PSV Eindhoven
Pre-match model estimate: VVV-Venlo 61%, draw 19%, Jong PSV Eindhoven 20%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
VVV-VenloJong PSV Eindhoven
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min9973
Last 15 min9851
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): VVV-Venlo win in 61% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and Jong PSV Eindhoven win 20%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 65%. About 10.7 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It finished 1-1 between VVV-Venlo and Jong PSV Eindhoven at Covebo Stadium - De Koel. It was 0-1 at half-time. The attendance at Covebo Stadium - De Koel was 5,506.
How the match unfolded
Amir Bouhamdi opened the scoring for Jong PSV Eindhoven after 39 minutes. Half-time: 0-1, Jong PSV Eindhoven in front.
From the 61st minute the pressure shifted towards VVV-Venlo. VVV-Venlo drew level at 1-1 in the 66th minute: Ismail M'Hand.
The statistics
VVV-Venlo had 13 shots (5 on target) to Jong PSV Eindhoven's 16 (8). Corners finished 12-7. Dangerous attacks: 245 for VVV-Venlo, 217 for Jong PSV Eindhoven.
The bigger picture
VVV-Venlo remain 2nd, now with 29 points. Jong PSV Eindhoven stay 13th on 17 points. Across 11 meetings in our records: 3 wins for VVV-Venlo, 5 wins for Jong PSV Eindhoven and 3 draws.
Coming up
VVV-Venlo's next match is at home against FC Eindhoven on 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eerste Divisie
