Vitoria Guimaraes vs CS Maritimo: the story of the match
38' — Vitoria Guimaraes took the lead: 1-0. Arnel Jakupovic scored it. Half time: 1-0.
48' — Vitoria Guimaraes extended the lead: 2-0. An own goal by Paulo Henrique. 60' — Vitoria Guimaraes extended the lead: 3-0. Oumar Camara scored it. 77' — Vitoria Guimaraes extended the lead: 4-0. Arnel Jakupovic scored it. 90' — Vitoria Guimaraes extended the lead: 5-0. Yeimar Mosquera scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Vitoria Guimaraes won 5-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Vitoria Guimaraes win in 36% of the simulated matches, 32% end level and CS Maritimo win 32%. Average goals 1.8; the most likely score is 0-0 (16%); both teams score in 35%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Vitoria Guimaraes took the lead in the 38th minute: Arnel Jakupovic. Half-time: 1-0, Vitoria Guimaraes in front.
Vitoria Guimaraes extended their lead to 2-0 on 48 minutes thanks to an own goal from Paulo Henrique. Vitoria Guimaraes extended their lead to 3-0 on 60 minutes thanks to Oumar Camara. Vitoria Guimaraes extended their lead to 4-0 on 77 minutes thanks to Arnel Jakupovic. Vitoria Guimaraes extended their lead to 5-0 on 90 minutes thanks to Yeimar Mosquera, set up by Alan.
Match statistics
Vitoria Guimaraes had 24 shots (8 on target) to CS Maritimo's 12 (2). Vitoria Guimaraes won 6 corners, CS Maritimo 5.
The bigger picture
CS Maritimo's run of 4 matches with a goal comes to an end. It is Vitoria Guimaraes' first win against CS Maritimo since 2023.
Coming up
Next up for Vitoria Guimaraes: home to Porto on Sunday 8 November. CS Maritimo's next match is away to Estoril Praia on 8 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga Portugal
