One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Viking FKKick-off0-0Tromso IL
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Viking FK win in 65% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and Tromso IL win 16%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 59%.
Goals scored per match: 1.4Goals conceded per match: 2.3
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Viking FK won 3-1.
Story
Viking FK vs Tromso IL: the story of the match
18' — Viking FK took the lead: 1-0. Peter Christiansen scored it. 31' — Viking FK extended the lead: 2-0. Henrik Heggheim scored it. 45' — Viking FK extended the lead: 3-0. Erik Botheim scored it. Half time: 3-0.
90' — Tromso IL pulled one back: 3-1. Jesper Grundt scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Viking FK won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Viking FKDrawTromso IL
Pre-match model estimate: Viking FK 65%, draw 19%, Tromso IL 16%.
Tromso IL went down 3-1 to Viking FK in Eliteserien. The half-time score was 3-0. Player of the match: Erik Botheim of Viking FK, with a ScoreMondo rating of 7.2. Sunday 25 October, Viking Stadion (Stavanger): Viking FK against Tromso IL on matchday 12, kick-off 13:30.
Key moments
Viking FK took the lead in the 18th minute through Peter Christiansen. Henrik Heggheim made it 2-0 for Viking FK after 31 minutes. Viking FK extended their lead to 3-0 on 45 minutes thanks to Erik Botheim. Half-time: 3-0, Viking FK in front.
Tromso IL pulled one back to make it 3-1 in the 90th minute through Jesper Grundt.
The statistics
Viking FK won 4 corners, Tromso IL 6. The referee showed 4 yellow cards, 2 to Viking FK and 2 to Tromso IL. Tromso IL produced 178 dangerous attacks to Viking FK's 131. Fouls: 9 by Viking FK, 9 by Tromso IL; offsides 2-1.
Behind him, Peter Christiansen at 7.2, Henrik Heggheim at 7.1 and Jesper Grundt at 7.0 were next in the ScoreMondo ratings. Viking FK made 5 changes: Jesper Daland for Gianni Stensness (45'), Tobias Moi for Joe Bell (45'), Herman Haugen for Henrik Falchener (74') and Amin Cosic for Peter Christiansen (74'). From the Tromso IL bench came Lars Olden Larsen on 11 minutes, Isak Dahlqvist on 45 minutes, Jesper Grundt on 68 minutes and Daniel Braut on 68 minutes, among 5 changes.
Before the match
Before kick-off, Viking FK's last 5 matches had brought 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Viking FK lost 3-1 away to Aston Villa in their last match. Tromso IL came into the match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches — scoring in 5 straight games. Tromso IL were held 1-1 by KFUM Oslo in their latest outing. The record between them over the last 10 matches reads 3-5-2 from Viking FK's point of view. When they last met, on 19 October 2025, Viking FK won 3-1. There have been 37 goals in the 10 meetings, 3.7 a game. Referee Marius Lien showed 4 yellow cards; the average in our records is 2.6 yellows per game over 47 matches.
The bigger picture
Viking FK have now scored in 9 consecutive matches. Viking FK ended Tromso IL's unbeaten run of 4 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
