15' — US Avellino took the lead: 1-0. R. Russo scored it. Half time: 1-0.
56' — SS Arezzo equalised: 1-1. P. Cianci scored from the penalty spot. 90' — SS Arezzo completed the turnaround: 1-2. A. Ionita scored it. It came in the closing minutes. SS Arezzo won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
US AvellinoDrawSS Arezzo
Pre-match model estimate: US Avellino 54%, draw 28%, SS Arezzo 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
US Avellino took the lead on 15 minutes thanks to R. Russo, set up by M. Palumbo. Half-time: 1-0, US Avellino in front.
SS Arezzo drew level at 1-1 on 56 minutes thanks to P. Cianci from the penalty spot. SS Arezzo completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 90th minute: A. Ionita, set up by S. Righetti.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie B
