One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Trethomas Bluebirds AFCKick-off0-0Llantwit Major AFC
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Trethomas Bluebirds AFC 2.1 – 1.5 Llantwit Major AFC. Most frequent scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Both teams score in 68% of the simulated matches.
Previous meetings and form
Head to head
1Trethomas Bluebirds AFC2Draws1Llantwit Major AFC
Goals: 5 - 5 · last 4 meetings
FAW ChampionshipTrethomas Bluebirds AFC2 - 2Llantwit Major AFC
FAW ChampionshipLlantwit Major AFC2 - 1Trethomas Bluebirds AFC
FAW ChampionshipTrethomas Bluebirds AFC1 - 1Llantwit Major AFC
FAW ChampionshipLlantwit Major AFC0 - 1Trethomas Bluebirds AFC
Trethomas Bluebirds AFC took the lead on 52 minutes. Trethomas Bluebirds AFC extended their lead to 2-0 on 72 minutes. Llantwit Major AFC had a player sent off on 75 minutes. Just 3 minutes later (78') Llantwit Major AFC pulled one back to make it 2-1. Late on, in the 85th minute, Llantwit Major AFC drew level at 2-2.
The statistics
Corners finished 5-5. The referee showed 6 yellow cards, 3 to Trethomas Bluebirds AFC and 3 to Llantwit Major AFC, and a red. Dangerous attacks: 62 for Llantwit Major AFC, 42 for Trethomas Bluebirds AFC. Trethomas Bluebirds AFC committed 10 fouls to Llantwit Major AFC's 10, and the offside count read 6-1.
How they came into it
Before kick-off Trethomas Bluebirds AFC were 7th on 16 points and Llantwit Major AFC 12th on 11 points. Trethomas Bluebirds AFC came into the match with 2 wins and 3 defeats from their last 5 matches. Aberystwyth Town beat Trethomas Bluebirds AFC 2-1 last time out. Before kick-off, Llantwit Major AFC's last 5 matches had brought 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Llantwit Major AFC lost 3-2 at home to Newport City FC in their last match. The last meeting, in 2025 in the FAW Championship, finished 2-2. Those 4 games produced 10 goals, an average of 2.5 per match.
What the result means
Trethomas Bluebirds AFC move on to 17 points. The result takes Llantwit Major AFC to 12 points. Llantwit Major AFC have now scored in 11 consecutive matches. Across 5 meetings in our records: 1 win for Trethomas Bluebirds AFC, 1 win for Llantwit Major AFC and 3 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.