Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Llantwit Major AFC beat Caerau (Ely) AFC 2-0 in FAW Championship.
In our records Caerau (Ely) AFC and Llantwit Major AFC have met 7 times: Caerau (Ely) AFC won 3, 2 ended level and Llantwit Major AFC won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Llantwit Major AFC 1-4 Caerau (Ely) AFC.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Llantwit Major AFC won 0-2.
Story
Caerau (Ely) AFC vs Llantwit Major AFC: the story of the match
29' — Llantwit Major AFC took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
75' — Llantwit Major AFC extended the lead: 0-2. Llantwit Major AFC won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Caerau (Ely) AFCDrawLlantwit Major AFC
Pre-match model estimate: Caerau (Ely) AFC 75%, draw 15%, Llantwit Major AFC 10%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Caerau (Ely) AFC win in 75% of the simulated matches, 15% end level and Llantwit Major AFC win 10%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 2-0 (10%); both teams score in 55%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Caerau (Ely) AFC – Llantwit Major AFC match report
Llantwit Major AFC took the lead on 29 minutes. Half-time: 0-1, Llantwit Major AFC in front.
Llantwit Major AFC extended their lead to 2-0 on 75 minutes.
Match statistics
On target it was 1-4, from 1 and 5 attempts respectively. Corners finished 7-7.
The bigger picture
Caerau (Ely) AFC remain 4th, now with 19 points. Llantwit Major AFC climb from 15th to 12th on 11 points. Caerau (Ely) AFC's winning streak stops at 6. A 3-game wait for victory is over for Llantwit Major AFC.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
FAW Championship
