5' — Swindon Town took the lead: 1-0. Aaron Drinan scored it. Half time: 1-0.
55' — Walsall equalised: 1-1. Tai Sodje scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Swindon TownDrawWalsall
Pre-match model estimate: Swindon Town 33%, draw 31%, Walsall 36%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Swindon Town took the lead in the 5th minute: Aaron Drinan. It was Swindon Town 1-0 Walsall at half-time.
Walsall drew level at 1-1 on 55 minutes thanks to Tai Sodje.
Match statistics
The shot count read 8-10, 4-8 on target. Corners finished 2-10. Dangerous attacks: 77 for Walsall, 36 for Swindon Town.
What it means
The wait for a win goes on for Swindon Town: 8 matches now. Walsall are now unbeaten in 4 matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 4 wins for Swindon Town, 5 wins for Walsall and 2 draws.
What’s next
Swindon Town's next match is at home against Rotherham United on 31 October. Walsall visit Colchester United next, on 31 October in the League Two.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.