SV Meppen vs FC Wurzburger Kickers: the story of the match
26' — SV Meppen took the lead: 1-0. O. Schmitt scored it. 39' — SV Meppen extended the lead: 2-0. S. Rankic scored it. Half time: 2-0.
61' — SV Meppen extended the lead: 3-0. J. Ehlers scored it. 73' — SV Meppen extended the lead: 4-0. J. Ehlers scored it. SV Meppen won 4-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SV MeppenDrawFC Wurzburger Kickers
Pre-match model estimate: SV Meppen 52%, draw 22%, FC Wurzburger Kickers 26%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): SV Meppen win in 52% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and FC Wurzburger Kickers win 26%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 61%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 4.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
SV Meppen took the lead on 26 minutes thanks to O. Schmitt, set up by D. Domrose. SV Meppen extended their lead to 2-0 on 39 minutes thanks to S. Rankic. It was SV Meppen 2-0 FC Wurzburger Kickers at half-time.
SV Meppen extended their lead to 3-0 in the 61st minute: J. Ehlers. SV Meppen extended their lead to 4-0 in the 73rd minute: J. Ehlers.
Match statistics
Corners finished 6-4.
The bigger picture
SV Meppen climb from 17th to 13th on 14 points. FC Wurzburger Kickers slip to 17th (11 points), having started the day 16th. SV Meppen are now unbeaten in 4 matches. SV Meppen beat FC Wurzburger Kickers for the first time since 2021.
Next fixtures
Next up for SV Meppen: away at Fortuna Dusseldorf on Friday 30 October. FC Wurzburger Kickers' next match is away to SC Fortuna Koln on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
3. Liga
