FC Viktoria Koln vs SC Verl: the story of the match
45' — SC Verl took the lead: 0-1. F. Wessig scored it. Half time: 0-1.
71' — FC Viktoria Koln equalised: 1-1. D. Otto scored it. 86' — FC Viktoria Koln completed the turnaround: 2-1. T. Duman scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 89' — FC Viktoria Koln extended the lead: 3-1. K. Jakob scored it. It came in the closing minutes. FC Viktoria Koln won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC Viktoria KolnDrawSC Verl
Pre-match model estimate: FC Viktoria Koln 60%, draw 19%, SC Verl 21%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Viktoria Koln win in 60% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and SC Verl win 21%. Average goals 3.7; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 67%. About 9.8 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The officials disallowed a FC Viktoria Koln goal on 43 minutes. F. Wessig opened the scoring for SC Verl after 45 minutes. It was FC Viktoria Koln 0-1 SC Verl at half-time.
FC Viktoria Koln drew level at 1-1 on 71 minutes thanks to D. Otto, set up by M. Sponsel. Late on, in the 86th minute, FC Viktoria Koln completed the turnaround at 2-1 through T. Duman, set up by P. Fallmann. Just 3 minutes later (89') FC Viktoria Koln extended their lead to 3-1, K. Jakob on target, set up by N. Castelle.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 6-2. Dangerous attacks: 28 for FC Viktoria Koln, 8 for SC Verl.
What the result means
FC Viktoria Koln are now unbeaten in 8 matches. The wait for a win goes on for SC Verl: 5 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
3. Liga
