Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
SS Pennarossa beat SP Cailungo 4-1 in Coppa Titano, Playoffs.
In our records SP Cailungo and SS Pennarossa have met 2 times: SP Cailungo won 0, 0 ended level and SS Pennarossa won 2.
Their latest meeting (): SS Pennarossa 3-0 SP Cailungo.
Match decisions & VAR
42'Penalty awardedSS PennarossaDecision
45'Red cardSP CailungoDecision
74'Red cardSP CailungoDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: SS Pennarossa won 1-4.
Story
SP Cailungo vs SS Pennarossa: the story of the match
17' — SS Pennarossa took the lead: 0-1. 40' — SP Cailungo equalised: 1-1. 43' — SS Pennarossa went back in front: 1-2. 45' — SS Pennarossa extended the lead: 1-3. Half time: 1-3, with SS Pennarossa applying more of the pressure.
47' — SP Cailungo had a player sent off. 53' — SS Pennarossa extended the lead: 1-4. 74' — SP Cailungo had a player sent off. SS Pennarossa won 1-4.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SP CailungoDrawSS Pennarossa
Pre-match model estimate: SP Cailungo 26%, draw 23%, SS Pennarossa 51%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
SP CailungoSS Pennarossa
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min2263
Last 15 min3168
Recorded from minute 9.
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): SP Cailungo win in 26% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and SS Pennarossa win 51%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 59%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
SS Pennarossa took the lead on 17 minutes. SP Cailungo drew level at 1-1 on 40 minutes. Just 3 minutes later (43') SS Pennarossa went 2-1 up. Just 2 minutes later (45') SS Pennarossa extended their lead to 3-1. It was SP Cailungo 1-3 SS Pennarossa at half-time; SS Pennarossa had the better of the pressure.
SP Cailungo were a man down from the 47th minute. Just 6 minutes later (53') SS Pennarossa extended their lead to 4-1. SP Cailungo had a player sent off on 74 minutes.
The statistics
On target it was 0-4, from 2 and 8 attempts respectively. Corners finished 4-8. SP Cailungo's goalkeeper made 5 saves. Dangerous attacks: 95 for SS Pennarossa, 58 for SP Cailungo.
What the result means
SP Cailungo have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. SS Pennarossa have now scored in 7 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Coppa Titano, Playoffs
