Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
SP Tre Penne beat Juvenes/Dogana 3-1 in Coppa Titano, Playoffs.
Venue: San Marino Stadium.
In our records Juvenes/Dogana and SP Tre Penne have met 2 times: Juvenes/Dogana won 0, 0 ended level and SP Tre Penne won 2.
Their latest meeting (): SP Tre Penne 2-0 Juvenes/Dogana.
Match decisions & VAR
91'Penalty awardedSP Tre PenneDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: SP Tre Penne won 1-3.
Story
Juvenes/Dogana vs SP Tre Penne: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 33' — Juvenes/Dogana took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
59' — SP Tre Penne equalised: 1-1. 64' — SP Tre Penne completed the turnaround: 1-2. 90' — SP Tre Penne extended the lead: 1-3. It came in the closing minutes. After 76' the momentum swung to SP Tre Penne. SP Tre Penne won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Juvenes/DoganaDrawSP Tre Penne
Pre-match model estimate: Juvenes/Dogana 22%, draw 25%, SP Tre Penne 53%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Juvenes/DoganaSP Tre Penne
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min00
Last 15 min1531
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2 (no dangerous-attack data for this match).
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Juvenes/Dogana win in 22% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and SP Tre Penne win 53%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 0-1 (13%); both teams score in 48%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Juvenes/Dogana took the lead on 33 minutes. Juvenes/Dogana led 1-0 at the break.
SP Tre Penne drew level at 1-1 on 59 minutes. SP Tre Penne completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 64 minutes. SP Tre Penne took over after the 76th minute, pinning Juvenes/Dogana back. Late on, in the 90th minute, SP Tre Penne extended their lead to 3-1.
The statistics
Corners finished 1-8.
What it means
It is now 7 straight defeats for Juvenes/Dogana. SP Tre Penne's run of 4 clean sheets is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Coppa Titano, Playoffs
