Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Sogndal IL beat Kongsvinger IL 3-1 in 1st Division.
Venue: Fosshaugane Campus.
Referee: A. Medic.
In our records Sogndal IL and Kongsvinger IL have met 9 times: Sogndal IL won 3, 3 ended level and Kongsvinger IL won 3.
Their latest meeting (): Kongsvinger IL 5-1 Sogndal IL.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Sogndal IL won 3-1.
Story
Sogndal IL vs Kongsvinger IL: the story of the match
5' — Sogndal IL took the lead: 1-0. 36' — Kongsvinger IL equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
78' — Sogndal IL went back in front: 2-1. 85' — Sogndal IL extended the lead: 3-1. It came in the closing minutes. Sogndal IL won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Sogndal ILDrawKongsvinger IL
Pre-match model estimate: Sogndal IL 21%, draw 18%, Kongsvinger IL 61%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Sogndal IL win in 21% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Kongsvinger IL win 61%. Average goals 4.2; the most likely score is 1-2 (8%); both teams score in 72%. About 10.2 corners on average. About 3.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.