4' — IL Hodd took the lead: 0-1. J. Berisha scored it. 27' — FK Haugesund equalised: 1-1. S. Nilsen scored it. Half time: 1-1.
66' — IL Hodd went back in front: 1-2. J. Berisha scored it. 71' — FK Haugesund equalised: 2-2. S. Diarra scored it. 90' — FK Haugesund completed the turnaround: 3-2. B. Leite scored it. It came in the closing minutes. FK Haugesund won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FK HaugesundDrawIL Hodd
Pre-match model estimate: FK Haugesund 84%, draw 10%, IL Hodd 6%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FK Haugesund win in 84% of the simulated matches, 10% end level and IL Hodd win 6%. Average goals 4.2; the most likely score is 3-0 (10%); both teams score in 56%. About 9.8 corners on average. About 3.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
IL Hodd took the lead in the 4th minute: J. Berisha, set up by T. Kallevag. FK Haugesund drew level at 1-1 on 27 minutes thanks to S. Nilsen, set up by A. Bondhus. FK Haugesund had a goal ruled out in the 43rd minute. The first half ended 1-1.
IL Hodd went 2-1 up on 66 minutes thanks to J. Berisha. FK Haugesund drew level at 2-2 on 71 minutes thanks to S. Diarra, set up by E. Andersen. The officials disallowed a FK Haugesund goal on 83 minutes. FK Haugesund completed the turnaround at 3-2 on 90 minutes thanks to B. Leite.
Match statistics
FK Haugesund had 16 shots (10 on target) to IL Hodd's 3 (3). Corners finished 10-1.
The bigger picture
IL Hodd have now scored in 7 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
