One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Shonan BellmareKick-off0-0Sagan Tosu
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Shonan Bellmare win in 33% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Sagan Tosu win 41%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 52%. About 10.7 corners on average. About 3.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 14%.
Goals scored per match: 1Goals conceded per match: 1.1
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Sagan Tosu won 0-1.
Story
Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
85' — Sagan Tosu took the lead: 0-1. H. Goto scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Sagan Tosu won 0-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Sagan Tosu left it late to beat Shonan Bellmare1-0, with H. Goto the match-winner. The half-time score was 0-0. Player of the match: R. Shiohama of Sagan Tosu, with a ScoreMondo rating of 6.9. Tuesday 3 November, Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka): Shonan Bellmare against Sagan Tosu on matchday 15, kick-off 05:04.
Key moments
The first half ended 0-0.
Late on, in the 85th minute, Sagan Tosu took the lead through H. Goto, set up by R. Shiohama.
Match statistics
The shot count read 9-11, 6-8 on target. Expected goals (xG) 1.04 – 1.42: Sagan Tosu created the better chances. Shonan Bellmare won 8 corners, Sagan Tosu 7. Fouls: 8 by Shonan Bellmare, 9 by Sagan Tosu; offsides 2-2.
Booked for Shonan Bellmare: W. Shimoguchi (56'). Sagan Tosu's yellow cards went to T. Ando in the 20th minute and K. Abe in the 78th minute.
Before kick-off, Shonan Bellmare's last 5 matches had brought 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Shonan Bellmare lost 1-0 away to Consadole Sapporo in their last match. Sagan Tosu came into the match with 2 wins and 3 defeats from their last 5 matches. Jubilo Iwata beat Sagan Tosu 2-0 last time out. In 9 previous meetings, Shonan Bellmare have won 4, Sagan Tosu 2, and 3 have been drawn. When they last met, on 31 August 2024, Shonan Bellmare won 2-1. There have been 30 goals in the 9 meetings, 3.3 a game. Referee Y. Hori showed 3 yellow cards.
What it means
It is Sagan Tosu's first win against Shonan Bellmare since 2023.
What’s next
Shonan Bellmare's next match is at home against Yokohama FC on 14 November. Sagan Tosu visit Consadole Sapporo next, on 15 November in the J2 League.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
J2 League
