Shenzhen Peng City vs Shanghai Greenland Shenhua: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
46' — Shenzhen Peng City took the lead: 1-0. Wai-Tsun Dai scored it. 64' — Shanghai Greenland Shenhua equalised: 1-1. Yang Shuai scored it. 90' — Shenzhen Peng City went back in front: 2-1. Wesley scored from the penalty spot. It came in the closing minutes. Shenzhen Peng City won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Shenzhen Peng CityDrawShanghai Greenland Shenhua
Pre-match model estimate: Shenzhen Peng City 29%, draw 21%, Shanghai Greenland Shenhua 50%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Shenzhen Peng City win in 29% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Shanghai Greenland Shenhua win 50%. Average goals 3.7; the most likely score is 1-2 (9%); both teams score in 70%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Shenzhen Peng City – Shanghai Greenland Shenhua match report
VAR awarded Shanghai Greenland Shenhua a penalty in the 7th minute. Shanghai Greenland Shenhua had a goal ruled out in the 26th minute. Half-time: 0-0 between Shenzhen Peng City and Shanghai Greenland Shenhua.
Shenzhen Peng City took the lead on 46 minutes thanks to Wai-Tsun Dai, set up by Albion Ademi. VAR disallowed a Shanghai Greenland Shenhua goal on 56 minutes. Shanghai Greenland Shenhua drew level at 1-1 on 64 minutes thanks to Yang Shuai, set up by Gao Tianyi. Shanghai Greenland Shenhua had a goal ruled out in the 76th minute. Shenzhen Peng City went 2-1 up in the 90th minute: Wesley from the penalty spot.
The statistics
The shot count read 4-7, 3-3 on target. Shanghai Greenland Shenhua produced 45 dangerous attacks to Shenzhen Peng City's 27.
What it means
The result lifts Shenzhen Peng City to 11th with 32 points, up from 12th. Shanghai Greenland Shenhua stay 8th on 37 points. Shenzhen Peng City end a run of 5 matches without a win. Shenzhen Peng City ended Shanghai Greenland Shenhua's unbeaten run of 6 matches.
What’s next
Shanghai Greenland Shenhua host FC Machida Zelvia next, on 29 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
