SCU Torreense vs Amarante FC: the story of the match
SCU Torreense started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 9' — SCU Torreense took the lead: 1-0. M. Abubakari scored it. Half time: 1-0, with SCU Torreense applying more of the pressure.
After 76' the momentum swung to Amarante FC. SCU Torreense won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SCU TorreenseDrawAmarante FC
Pre-match model estimate: SCU Torreense 56%, draw 24%, Amarante FC 20%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
SCU TorreenseAmarante FC
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min1239
Last 15 min1255
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): SCU Torreense win in 56% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Amarante FC win 20%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 47%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The early pressure came from SCU Torreense, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. SCU Torreense took the lead in the 9th minute: M. Abubakari. SCU Torreense led 1-0 at the break.
Amarante FC took over after the 76th minute, pinning SCU Torreense back.
What the numbers say
On target it was 2-4, from 4 and 6 attempts respectively. SCU Torreense won 3 corners, Amarante FC 3. SCU Torreense produced 110 dangerous attacks to Amarante FC's 75.
What the result means
The result lifts SCU Torreense to 13th with 9 points, up from 16th. Amarante FC stay 17th on 5 points. SCU Torreense end a run of 3 straight defeats. Amarante FC's run of 6 matches with a goal comes to an end.
Coming up
SCU Torreense's next match is away to Portimonense SAD on 31 October. Amarante FC host Porto B next, on 31 October in Liga Portugal 2.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga Portugal 2
