12' — KaPa took the lead: 0-1. H. Toivonen scored it. Half time: 0-1.
81' — Rovaniemen PS equalised: 1-1. S. McLeod scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Rovaniemen PSDrawKaPa
Pre-match model estimate: Rovaniemen PS 28%, draw 23%, KaPa 49%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Rovaniemen PS win in 28% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and KaPa win 49%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 59%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Rovaniemen PS – KaPa match report
Updated:
Neither Rovaniemen PS nor KaPa could find a winner in a 1-1 draw. The half-time score was 0-1.
Key moments
KaPa took the lead on 12 minutes thanks to H. Toivonen. It was Rovaniemen PS 0-1 KaPa at half-time.
Rovaniemen PS drew level at 1-1 on 81 minutes thanks to S. McLeod.
The statistics
Rovaniemen PS won 3 corners, KaPa 3. Rovaniemen PS produced 48 dangerous attacks to KaPa's 25.
What it means
Rovaniemen PS extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches. KaPa have now scored in 7 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
