One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Real Madrid (Wom)Kick-off0-0Paris (Wom)
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Real Madrid (Wom) win in 71% of the simulated matches, 16% end level and Paris (Wom) win 13%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 2-0 (10%); both teams score in 58%.
Previous meetings and form
Head to head
2Real Madrid (Wom)1Draws2Paris (Wom)
Goals: 7 - 6 · last 5 meetings
UEFA Champions League - WomenReal Madrid (Wom)2 - 0Paris (Wom)
UEFA Champions League - WomenParis (Wom)2 - 3Real Madrid (Wom)
UEFA Champions League - WomenReal Madrid (Wom)1 - 1Paris (Wom)
UEFA Champions League - WomenReal Madrid (Wom)0 - 1Paris (Wom)
UEFA Champions League - WomenParis (Wom)2 - 1Real Madrid (Wom)
Goals scored per match: 2.2Goals conceded per match: 2
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Real Madrid (Wom) won 3-0.
Story
Real Madrid (Wom) vs Paris (Wom): the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0.
55' — Real Madrid (Wom) took the lead: 1-0. Arianna Caruso scored it. 65' — Real Madrid (Wom) extended the lead: 2-0. Lineth Beerensteyn scored it. 81' — Real Madrid (Wom) extended the lead: 3-0. Linda Caicedo scored it. Real Madrid (Wom) won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Real Madrid (Wom)DrawParis (Wom)
Pre-match model estimate: Real Madrid (Wom) 71%, draw 16%, Paris (Wom) 13%.
Real Madrid (Wom) thrashed Paris (Wom)3-0 in the UEFA Champions League - Women. The half-time score was 0-0. Felicia Schröder was our player of the match, rated 7.6 by the ScoreMondo model for Real Madrid (Wom). Tuesday 10 November, Alfredo Di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid): Real Madrid (Wom) against Paris (Wom) on matchday 4, kick-off 17:45.
Key moments
Half-time: 0-0 between Real Madrid (Wom) and Paris (Wom).
Real Madrid (Wom) took the lead in the 55th minute through Arianna Caruso. Real Madrid (Wom) extended their lead to 2-0 on 65 minutes thanks to Lineth Beerensteyn, set up by Felicia Schröder. Real Madrid (Wom) extended their lead to 3-0 on 81 minutes thanks to Linda Caicedo, set up by Felicia Schröder.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 5-1, 3-0 on target. Corners finished 5-1. Fouls: 8 by Real Madrid (Wom), 4 by Paris (Wom); offsides 2-0.
Booked for Real Madrid (Wom): Athenea del Castillo (34') and Arianna Caruso (85').
Ratings and substitutions
Behind him, Arianna Caruso at 7.1, Linda Caicedo at 7.1 and Lineth Beerensteyn at 7.1 were next in the ScoreMondo ratings. Real Madrid (Wom) made 5 changes: Lineth Beerensteyn for Athenea del Castillo (45'), Linda Caicedo for Elisa Senß (62'), Filippa Angeldahl for Felicia Schröder (84') and Janou Levels for Eva Navarro (85'). From the Paris (Wom) bench came Sheika Scott on 45 minutes, Hawa Sangare on 61 minutes, Karla Torres on 61 minutes and Kenza Dufour on 69 minutes.
Before the match
The table had Real Madrid (Wom) 10th (3 points) and Paris (Wom) 14th (2 points) going into the game. Before kick-off, Real Madrid (Wom)'s last 5 matches had brought 3 wins and 2 draws. Real Madrid (Wom) drew 1-1 with Athletic Bilbao (Wom) last time out. Paris (Wom) came into the match with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5 matches — scoring in 10 straight games. Their most recent game was a 5-0 win over Montpellier (Wom) for Paris (Wom). Real Madrid (Wom) and Paris (Wom) have met 5 times in our records: 2 wins for Real Madrid (Wom), 2 for Paris (Wom) and 1 draw. When they last met, on 18 February 2026, Real Madrid (Wom) won 2-0. There have been 13 goals in the 5 meetings, 2.6 a game. Referee Heaslip Emily showed 2 yellow cards.
What the result means
The result lifts Real Madrid (Wom) to 7th with 6 points, up from 10th. Paris (Wom) drop from 14th to 16th on 2 points. Real Madrid (Wom) extend their unbeaten run to 6 matches. Real Madrid (Wom) ended Paris (Wom)'s unbeaten run of 6 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
UEFA Champions League - Women
