53' — Reading took the lead: 1-0. Paddy Lane scored it. Reading won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
ReadingDrawLeyton Orient
Pre-match model estimate: Reading 48%, draw 24%, Leyton Orient 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Reading win in 48% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Leyton Orient win 28%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%. About 10.8 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Reading – Leyton Orient match report
Updated:
Reading beat Leyton Orient1-0 without conceding at Madejski Stadium. It was 0-0 at half-time. The attendance at Madejski Stadium was 8,705.
Key moments
Half-time: 0-0 between Reading and Leyton Orient.
Paddy Lane opened the scoring for Reading after 53 minutes.
The statistics
On target it was 2-5, from 3 and 14 attempts respectively. Corners finished 3-6.
League One
