31' — Porto took the lead: 1-0. G. Veiga scored it. 35' — C. Lenglet of SL Benfica was sent off. Half time: 1-0.
51' — SL Benfica equalised: 1-1. A. Bah scored it. 54' — Porto went back in front: 2-1. V. Froholdt scored it. 60' — Porto extended the lead: 3-1. Hwang In-Beom scored it. Porto won 3-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
PortoDrawSL Benfica
Pre-match model estimate: Porto 32%, draw 27%, SL Benfica 41%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Porto took the lead on 31 minutes thanks to G. Veiga, set up by Pepê. SL Benfica had a player sent off on 35 minutes: C. Lenglet. Half-time: 1-0, Porto in front.
SL Benfica drew level at 1-1 on 51 minutes thanks to A. Bah, set up by G. Prestianni. Porto went 2-1 up in the 54th minute: V. Froholdt, set up by Andre Silva. Porto extended their lead to 3-1 on 60 minutes thanks to Hwang In-Beom, set up by Andre Silva.
What the result means
The result ends SL Benfica's run of 3 straight wins.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.