Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Portland Thorns (Wom) beat North Carolina Courage (Wom) 1-0 in National Women's Soccer League.
Venue: Providence Park.
In our records Portland Thorns (Wom) and North Carolina Courage (Wom) have met 10 times: Portland Thorns (Wom) won 2, 6 ended level and North Carolina Courage (Wom) won 2.
Their latest meeting (): North Carolina Courage (Wom) 2-2 Portland Thorns (Wom).
Pre-match model estimate: Portland Thorns (Wom) 39%, draw 22%, North Carolina Courage (Wom) 39%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Portland Thorns (Wom) win in 39% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and North Carolina Courage (Wom) win 39%. Average goals 3.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 67%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Portland Thorns (Wom) – North Carolina Courage (Wom) match report
Portland Thorns (Wom) took the lead in the 60th minute: Marie Müller.
Match statistics
On target it was 4-3, from 9 and 9 attempts respectively. Portland Thorns (Wom) won 4 corners, North Carolina Courage (Wom) 8. North Carolina Courage (Wom) produced 129 dangerous attacks to Portland Thorns (Wom)'s 99.
What the result means
Portland Thorns (Wom) end a run of 3 matches without a win. North Carolina Courage (Wom)'s run of 11 matches with a goal comes to an end.
Coming up
Next up for Portland Thorns (Wom): away at Houston Dash (Wom) on Sunday 1 November. North Carolina Courage (Wom)'s next match is at home against Denver Summit FC (Wom) on 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
National Women's Soccer League
