Chicago Red Stars (Wom) vs Houston Dash (Wom): the story of the match
4' — Houston Dash (Wom) took the lead: 0-1. Leah Klenke scored it. Half time: 0-1.
54' — Houston Dash (Wom) extended the lead: 0-2. Maggie Graham scored it. 79' — Houston Dash (Wom) extended the lead: 0-3. Clarissa Larisey scored it. 90' — Chicago Red Stars (Wom) pulled one back: 1-3. Sam Staab scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Houston Dash (Wom) won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Chicago Red Stars (Wom)DrawHouston Dash (Wom)
Pre-match model estimate: Chicago Red Stars (Wom) 27%, draw 24%, Houston Dash (Wom) 49%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Chicago Red Stars (Wom) win in 27% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Houston Dash (Wom) win 49%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Chicago Red Stars (Wom) – Houston Dash (Wom) match report
Leah Klenke opened the scoring for Houston Dash (Wom) after 4 minutes. Houston Dash (Wom) led 1-0 at the break.
Houston Dash (Wom) extended their lead to 2-0 in the 54th minute: Maggie Graham, set up by Lisa Boattin. Clarissa Larisey made it 3-0 for Houston Dash (Wom) after 79 minutes, set up by Kiki Van Zanten. Chicago Red Stars (Wom) pulled one back to make it 1-3 on 90 minutes thanks to Sam Staab.
Match statistics
Corners finished 5-2.
What it means
Chicago Red Stars (Wom) have lost 5 in a row. A 3-game wait for victory is over for Houston Dash (Wom).
Coming up
Chicago Red Stars (Wom)'s next match is away to Washington Spirit (Wom) on 1 November. Houston Dash (Wom) host Portland Thorns (Wom) next, on 1 November in the National Women's Soccer League.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
National Women's Soccer League
