Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Aliaga beat Pazarspor 1-0 in Turkish Cup.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Squad status
Line-ups not announced yet. Official line-ups are usually announced about 1 hour before kick-off.
No injured or suspended players reported for this match (checked ).
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Aliaga won 0-1.
Story
Pazarspor vs Aliaga: the story of the match
Aliaga started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 6' — Aliaga took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1, with Aliaga applying more of the pressure.
Aliaga won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
PazarsporDrawAliaga
Pre-match model estimate: Pazarspor 20%, draw 21%, Aliaga 59%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
PazarsporAliaga
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min220
Last 15 min80
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Pazarspor win in 20% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Aliaga win 59%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-2 (10%); both teams score in 58%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The early pressure came from Aliaga, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. Aliaga took the lead on 6 minutes. It was Pazarspor 0-1 Aliaga at half-time; Aliaga had the better of the pressure.
The statistics
Corners finished 1-5.
The bigger picture
The result ends Pazarspor's run of 4 straight wins. Aliaga have now won 6 in a row.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Turkish Cup
