14' — Carrarese took the lead: 0-1. Tommaso Rubino scored it. Half time: 0-1.
51' — Carrarese extended the lead: 0-2. Jonas Rouhi scored it. Carrarese won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
PadovaDrawCarrarese
Pre-match model estimate: Padova 42%, draw 35%, Carrarese 23%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Padova – Carrarese match report
Updated:
Carrarese beat Padova2-0 without conceding at Euganeo. The half-time score was 0-1.
The story of the match
Carrarese took the lead in the 14th minute: Tommaso Rubino. Half-time: 0-1, Carrarese in front.
Carrarese extended their lead to 2-0 in the 51st minute: Jonas Rouhi.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 5-1.
What it means
Padova's run of 5 matches with a goal comes to an end. Carrarese end a run of 6 matches without a win. It is Carrarese's first win over Padova in the last 3 meetings on record.
What’s next
Next up for Padova: away at Catanzaro on Saturday 31 October. Carrarese's next match is at home against SS Arezzo on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.