Omonia Nicosia vs SL Benfica: the story of the match
14' — SL Benfica took the lead: 0-1. An own goal by Loïc Négo. 42' — Omonia Nicosia equalised: 1-1. Andronikos Kakoulis scored it. Half time: 1-1.
49' — SL Benfica went back in front: 1-2. Vangelis Pavlidis scored it. 76' — SL Benfica extended the lead: 1-3. Fredrik Aursnes scored it. 85' — SL Benfica extended the lead: 1-4. Gianluca Prestianni scored it. It came in the closing minutes. SL Benfica won 1-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Omonia Nicosia win in 34% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and SL Benfica win 41%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 56%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
SL Benfica took the lead on 14 minutes thanks to an own goal from Loïc Négo. Omonia Nicosia drew level at 1-1 on 42 minutes thanks to Andronikos Kakoulis, set up by Jaden Montnor. Half-time: 1-1 between Omonia Nicosia and SL Benfica.
The shot count read 5-15, 5-9 on target. Corners finished 4-5. Dangerous attacks: 63 for SL Benfica, 39 for Omonia Nicosia.
What the result means
Omonia Nicosia slip to 11th (6 points), having started the day 6th. SL Benfica climb from 3rd to 1st on 9 points. Omonia Nicosia's 7-match unbeaten run is over. SL Benfica have now scored in 11 consecutive matches. SL Benfica beat Omonia Nicosia for the first time since 1981.
What’s next
Omonia Nicosia's next match is at home against AEL Limassol on 31 October. SL Benfica host Gil Vicente next, on 29 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
